Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.419286 0.483623 0.553579 0.635167 0.727578 0.828866 0.948157
2025-09-21 0.300259 0.385704 0.487801 0.618191 0.779638 0.972282 1.218804
2025-09-28 0.233936 0.325842 0.443649 0.604467 0.816832 1.086031 1.451212
2025-10-05 0.199360 0.296732 0.428885 0.619223 0.883770 1.235455 1.734707
2025-10-12 0.178786 0.281787 0.428601 0.649902 0.971019 1.415178 2.069861
2025-10-19 0.158625 0.263549 0.419966 0.665697 1.036368 1.567570 2.377130
2025-10-26 0.140058 0.244516 0.406902 0.671980 1.086363 1.699757 2.663350
2025-11-02 0.123079 0.225263 0.390558 0.670304 1.122460 1.812218 2.926558
2025-11-09 0.107383 0.205738 0.371052 0.660672 1.143888 1.902300 3.160266
2025-11-16 0.094210 0.188620 0.353235 0.651270 1.163674 1.989691 3.393976
2025-11-23 0.081131 0.169749 0.330014 0.629770 1.160569 2.038915 3.568424
2025-11-30 0.077742 0.168651 0.338040 0.663358 1.253330 2.250356 4.020229
2025-12-07 0.067687 0.153303 0.318582 0.646066 1.256823 2.314647 4.234900
2025-12-14 0.058920 0.139321 0.300098 0.628642 1.258477 2.375877 4.448942
2025-12-21 0.051724 0.127545 0.284429 0.614694 1.264740 2.444729 4.679661
2025-12-28 0.048247 0.123412 0.283624 0.629675 1.326426 2.616265 5.102763
2026-01-04 0.046543 0.123060 0.290573 0.660825 1.421541 2.854572 5.660641
2026-01-11 0.043670 0.119532 0.290297 0.676862 1.487862 3.043274 6.138209
2026-01-18 0.040317 0.114332 0.285732 0.683241 1.534976 3.198249 6.561432
2026-01-25 0.036737 0.108007 0.277862 0.681539 1.565021 3.321739 6.931329
2026-02-01 0.033010 0.100714 0.266886 0.671760 1.577104 3.410425 7.238747
2026-02-08 0.029703 0.094016 0.256510 0.662215 1.588667 3.498349 7.549147
2026-02-15 0.026085 0.085846 0.241540 0.640385 1.571415 3.526414 7.741500